Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.037764 0.041181 0.044636 0.048382 0.052325 0.056344 0.060746
2025-09-14 0.032744 0.037824 0.043141 0.049096 0.055553 0.062320 0.069924
2025-09-21 0.028634 0.034864 0.041590 0.049333 0.057945 0.067174 0.077762
2025-09-28 0.026141 0.033335 0.041314 0.050715 0.061387 0.073032 0.086605
2025-10-05 0.022927 0.030655 0.039462 0.050078 0.062368 0.076005 0.092137
2025-10-12 0.020631 0.028821 0.038386 0.050149 0.064003 0.079596 0.098269
2025-10-19 0.018980 0.027601 0.037897 0.050787 0.066193 0.083744 0.104982
2025-10-26 0.017745 0.026780 0.037792 0.051798 0.068757 0.088282 0.112118
2025-11-02 0.015334 0.024280 0.035470 0.049987 0.067846 0.088669 0.114360
2025-11-09 0.013817 0.022830 0.034360 0.049571 0.068535 0.090878 0.118683
2025-11-16 0.012496 0.021540 0.033370 0.049231 0.069255 0.093078 0.122962
2025-11-23 0.012006 0.021358 0.033792 0.050658 0.072141 0.097876 0.130339
2025-11-30 0.011338 0.020902 0.033851 0.051643 0.074526 0.102141 0.137183
2025-12-07 0.010582 0.020266 0.033632 0.052245 0.076422 0.105818 0.143344
2025-12-14 0.009745 0.019450 0.033122 0.052427 0.077762 0.108805 0.148673
2025-12-21 0.009377 0.019318 0.033540 0.053833 0.080666 0.113729 0.156379
2025-12-28 0.008394 0.018152 0.032445 0.053157 0.080849 0.115250 0.159910
2026-01-04 0.007715 0.017418 0.031924 0.053225 0.081973 0.117929 0.164856
2026-01-11 0.007256 0.017009 0.031849 0.053884 0.083857 0.121557 0.170975
2026-01-18 0.006935 0.016807 0.032062 0.054933 0.086253 0.125837 0.177914
2026-01-25 0.005904 0.015287 0.030231 0.053052 0.084700 0.125061 0.178525
2026-02-01 0.005309 0.014486 0.029448 0.052619 0.085059 0.126704 0.182147
2026-02-08 0.004781 0.013759 0.028742 0.052266 0.085501 0.128438 0.185875